Phil’s Predictions
Punxsutawney Phil has made 129 predictions since 1886.
- 108 predictions (84%) of six more weeks of winter
- 21 predictions (16%) of early spring
- 10 times, Phil’s predictions went unrecorded
| Year | Prediction | Details |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Early spring | NO Shadow at 7:26 AM; 36º with overcast skies. Miranda Moore, 2023 Miss Pennsylvania was the special guest of the Inner Circle at the Knob. |
| 2023 | More winter | Shadow at 7:24 AM; 13º with clear skies. PA Governor Josh Shapiro attends. Thousands of Eagles Super Bowl LVII fans help celebrate Phil’s big day at the Knob. |
| 2022 | More winter | Shadow at 7:27 AM; 27º with clear skies. A loyal crowd of thousands returned to Gobbler’s Knob. |
| 2021 | More winter | Shadow at 7:25 AM; 19º with light snow. Coronavirus fear prohibits crowds on Gobbler’s Knob. |
| 2020 | Early spring | NO Shadow at 7:26 AM; 30º with light snow falling. |
| 2019 | Early spring | NO Shadow at 7:28 AM; 14º fog & mist with -1º Wind Chill. |
| 2018 | More winter | At 7:25 a.m. with 18,000 Phil Phans present, Phil saw his shadow! Six More Weeks of Winter! |
| 2017 | More winter | 7:25 a.m. Saw His Shadow, Six More Weeks of Winter! There were a few snow flurries during the prognostication. |
| 2016 | Early spring | No Shadow- Early Spring It was 28° at Gobbler’s Knob. Phil made his perdition of an Early Spring at 7:25 a.m. |
| 2015 | More winter | Six More Weeks of Winter Was the prediction of Phil. The morning was filled with freezing rain. Phil emerged from his burrow at 7:26 a.m. |
| 2014 | More winter | Six More Weeks of Winter With fog in site, Phil made his prediction at 7:26 a.m. |
| 2013 | Early spring | No Shadow- Early Spring A Balmy 7° Phil made his prediction at 7:25 a.m. |
| 2012 | More winter | Six More Weeks of Winter The skies slightly overcast and a temperate of 30°. Phil saw his shadow! |
| 2011 | Early spring | No Shadow- Early Spring With rain over head, Phil made his prediction. |
| 2010 | More winter | The temperature was 12°. Saw Shadow- Six More Weeks of Winter |
| 2009 | More winter | At 7:26 a.m. Phil saw his shadow and Inner Circle President Bill Cooper completed his final interpretation and retired at Gobbler’s Knob. |
| 2008 | More winter | At 7:28 a.m., 29°, Phil Saw his Shadow. |
| 2007 | Early spring | No Shadow- Early Spring It was a cloudy morning with light snow flurries when Phil emerged from his burrow at about 7:26 a.m. and did not see his shadow. |
| 2006 | More winter | Phil saw his shadow while wearing his Steeler “Terrible Towel” at 7:25 a.m. The temperature was a balmy 38 degrees. |
| 2005 | More winter | The sky was clear as Phil saw his shadow before an enthusiastic crowd of 10-18,000. The time was 7:31 a.m. It was Phil’s 119th prediction. |
| 2004 | More winter | Phil saw his shadow at 7:27 in 8 degree weather. Event was webcast live on www.groundhog.org |
| 2003 | More winter | Phil saw his shadow at 7:25 AM as Pennsylvania’s newly elected Governor Ed Rendell looked on from Gobbler’s Knob. |
| 2002 | More winter | Phil saw his shadow at the largest event in 116 year history with estimated 30,000 people celebrating 02/02/02 |
| 2001 | More winter | Phil’s prediction of 6 more weeks of winter weather was displayed on the Astrovision in New York’s Time Square. |
| 2000 | More winter | It was the dawn of a new “Phillenium” and 12-degrees at Gobbler’s Knob when Phil saw his shadow at 7:28 AM. |
| 1999 | Early spring | Over 15,000 people celebrated as Phil saw no shadow at 7:23 AM and predicted and early spring |
| 1998 | More winter | Saw Shadow 7:20AM; Six more weeks of “El Nino” Winter. |
| 1997 | Early spring | No Shadow 7:25AM. Made his 110th prediction. Largest crowd the Knob has seen 35,000 people |
| 1996 | More winter | Saw Shadow 7:21; So cold he dug deep to make his prediction. |
| 1995 | Early spring | No Shadow; Guested on the Oprah Winfrey TV Show and made new fans. |
| 1994 | More winter | Saw Shadow 7:28 AM. |
| 1993 | More winter | Saw Shadow. “Groundhog Day” The movie with Bill Murray was released in time for PHIL’S Predition. |
| 1992 | More winter | Saw Shadow. |
| 1991 | More winter | Saw Shadow. |
| 1990 | Early spring | No Shadow. |
| 1989 | More winter | Saw Shadow. |
| 1988 | Early spring | No Shadow. |
| 1987 | More winter | Saw Shadow 7:29 AM. |
| 1986 | Early spring | No Shadow! Visited President Reagan at the White House in March. |
| 1985 | More winter | Saw Shadow at 7:28 AM. |
| 1984 | More winter | Saw Shadow shortly after 7 AM. |
| 1983 | Early spring | No Shadow; Peered over at 7:29 AM, but saw no shadow; predicted an early spring after a mild winter. |
| 1982 | More winter | Saw Shadow 7:26 AM; After coldest January in more than a century. |
| 1981 | More winter | Saw Shadow at 7:27 AM. |
| 1980 | More winter | Saw Shadow at 7:29 AM. |
| 1979 | More winter | Saw Shadow at 7:28 AM. |
| 1978 | More winter | Saw Shadow at 7:28 AM. |
| 1977 | More winter | Saw Shadow at 7:27; In midst of energy crisis. |
| 1976 | More winter | Saw Shadow at 7:29 AM. |
| 1975 | Early spring | No Shadow; Declared at 7:31 AM. |
| 1974 | More winter | Saw Shadow 8:28 AM. |
| 1973 | More winter | Saw Shadow 7:29 AM. |
| 1972 | More winter | Saw Shadow 7:30 AM. |
| 1971 | More winter | Saw Shadow at 7:29 AM; 14 below zero. |
| 1970 | Early spring | No Shadow. |
| 1969 | More winter | Saw Shadow 7:29 AM. |
| 1968 | More winter | Saw Shadow 7:29 AM. |
| 1967 | More winter | Saw Shadow 7:25 AM. |
| 1966 | More winter | Saw Shadow at 7:21 AM. |
| 1965 | More winter | Saw Shadow shortly before 8 AM. |
| 1964 | More winter | Saw Shadow. |
| 1963 | More winter | Saw Shadow at 7:41 AM; Unusually dark shadow |
| 1962 | More winter | Saw Shadow at 7:29 AM; Just returned from second trip to the moon. |
| 1961 | More winter | Saw Shadow at 7:41 AM; 25 below zero. |
| 1960 | More winter | Saw Shadow at 7:33 AM, forecasts extremely bad weather; appearance on the “Today” show. |
| 1959 | More winter | Saw Shadow at 8:23 AM; Announces that he has returned from a successful trip to the moon. |
| 1958 | More winter | Saw Shadow at 8:27 AM; Prepared for blast-off in his “Chucknik” spacecraft; First Woman-of-the-Year Award was given to Mrs. Louis (Olive) Woodring. |
| 1957 | More winter | Saw Shadow 7:47 AM. |
| 1956 | More winter | Saw Shadow 8:33 AM. |
| 1955 | More winter | Saw Shadow at 8:51 AM; 4-inch snowfall on Groundhog Day; Coverage on three TV stations. |
| 1954 | More winter | Saw Shadow at 8:03 AM; The groundhog was turned completely white from worry. |
| 1953 | More winter | Saw Shadow at 7:38 AM; First year with Sam Light as Groundhog Club president; First Man-of-the-Year Award goes to Ben Levy. |
| 1952 | More winter | Saw Shadow at 7:52 AM; First appearance of Frau Gourndhog, Groundhog procession and shadow. Casting was on Dave Garroway’s TV Show on NBC on Monday, February 4. |
| 1951 | More winter | Saw Shadow at 8:41 AM; Pictured with cheerleaders from PHS and SSCD. Betty Byers, Joan Wadding, Dorothy Armstrong and Kathleen Spinelli. |
| 1950 | Early spring | No Shadow; Colleen Townsend, actress, was in town to promote the film, “When Willie Comes Marching Home.” |
| 1949 | More winter | Saw Shadow at 7:32 AM. |
| 1948 | More winter | Saw Shadow at 8:46 AM; Dr. Frank Lorenzo was interviewed on KDKA Radio’s “Brunch With Bill” program. |
| 1947 | More winter | Saw Shadow at 7:37 AM; First newspaper photo of Groundhog Club members at Gobbler’s Knob. |
| 1946 | More winter | Saw Shadow at 7:52 AM. |
| 1945 | More winter | Saw Shadow at 9 AM. |
| 1944 | More winter | Saw Shadow at 9:10 AM. |
| 1943 | Early spring | Groundhog didn’t make an appearance; relied on Quarryville’s prediction - NO Shadow |
| 1942 | More winter | Partial Shadow at 7:40 AM; “War clouds have blacked out parts of the shadow.” (“The Spirit,” Feb. 2, 1942). |
| 1941 | More winter | Saw Shadow at 4:25 PM; Six Groundhog Girls. |
| 1940 | More winter | Saw Shadow at 9 AM; Pictured with first Groundhog Day Queen, Miss Margaret Hunam. |
| 1939 | More winter | Saw Shadow at 9:10 AM. |
| 1938 | More winter | Saw Shadow at 9 AM; Blackest shadow in history. |
| 1937 | More winter | Saw Shadow at 9:09 AM; Unfortunate meeting with a skunk. |
| 1936 | More winter | Saw Shadow at 10:27 AM. |
| 1935 | More winter | Saw Shadow at 9:11 AM. |
| 1934 | Early spring | No Shadow. |
| 1933 | More winter | Saw Shadow. |
| 1932 | More winter | Saw Shadow at 9:11 AM. |
| 1931 | More winter | Saw Shadow at 12:27 AM. |
| 1930 | More winter | Saw Shadow at 7:11 AM. |
| 1929 | More winter | Predicted six more weeks of winter before sunrise. |
| 1928 | More winter | Saw Shadow at 10 AM; Program with Punx’y Rotary Club was on KDKA Radio. |
| 1927 | More winter | Saw Shadow at 8:35 AM. |
| 1926 | More winter | Saw Shadow at 9:17 AM. |
| 1925 | More winter | Saw Shadow 8:13 AM; CJ Margiotti gave groundhog tradition to the Pittsburgh Travel Club. |
| 1924 | More winter | Saw Shadow 7:13 AM; First appearance of logo with groundhog with umbrella and newspaper. |
| 1923 | More winter | Saw Shadow. |
| 1922 | More winter | Saw Shadow 7:11 AM; Groundhog Holiday Dance. |
| 1921 | More winter | Saw Shadow at 7:17 AM. |
| 1920 | More winter | Saw Shadow. |
| 1919 | More winter | Saw Shadow. |
| 1918 | More winter | Saw Shadow; Temperature 18 below zero. |
| 1917 | More winter | Saw Shadow at 9:07. |
| 1916 | More winter | Saw Shadow at 9:07; First films of the event. |
| 1915 | More winter | Saw Shadow at 11:45 AM |
| 1914 | More winter | Saw Shadow at 9:34 AM, Groundhog demonstrated “The Groundhog Flop” |
| 1913 | More winter | Saw Shadow at 8:80 am. First newspaper photo of Groundhog by John Frampton. A new dance “The Groundhog Roll” was demonstrated by Joe Winslow. |
| 1912 | More winter | Saw Shadow. |
| 1911 | More winter | Saw Shadow; “55 couples at Groundhog Day Dance.” |
| 1910 | More winter | Saw Shadow. |
| 1909 | More winter | Saw Shadow. |
| 1908 | More winter | Saw Shadow; First front page coverage |
| 1907 | More winter | Saw Shadow. |
| 1906 | More winter | Saw Shadow. |
| 1905 | More winter | Saw Shadow. |
| 1904 | More winter | Saw Shadow. |
| 1903 | More winter | Saw Shadow. |
| 1902 | Early spring | Probably No Shadow. |
| 1901 | More winter | Saw Shadow. |
| 1900 | More winter | Saw Shadow. |
| 1899 | No prediction. | No Record. Groundhog Club founded. |
| 1898 | More winter | Saw Shadow. |
| 1897 | No prediction. | No Record. |
| 1896 | No prediction. | No Record. |
| 1895 | No prediction. | No Record. |
| 1894 | No prediction. | No Record. |
| 1893 | No prediction. | No Record. |
| 1892 | No prediction. | No Record. |
| 1891 | No prediction. | No Record. |
| 1890 | Early spring | No Shadow. |
| 1889 | No prediction. | No Record. |
| 1888 | More winter | Saw Shadow. |
| 1887 | More winter | First Official trek to Gobbler’s Knob. Saw Shadow. |
| 1886 | No prediction. | Groundhog Day first recognized in Punxsutawney by Weathers Wags. |