The leading Groundhog Day data source

Phil’s Predictions

Potomac Phil has made 15 predictions since 2012.

  • 10 predictions (67%) of six more weeks of winter
  • 5 predictions (33%) of early spring

All predictions

Year Prediction Details
2026 More winter I see a shadow! Six more weeks of winter and six more months of political gridlock
2025 More winter Shadows everywhere! 6 more weeks of Winter and 6 more months of political gridlock!!!!
2024 Early spring Early Spring; 6 More Months of Political Gridlock
2023 Early spring No shadow—it’s going to be an early spring! But me also see 6 more months of political gridlock
2022 More winter Sorry folks, 6 more weeks of winter and 6 more months of political gridlock!!!
2021 Early spring No shadow! Early spring! 6 more months of political gridlock!
2020 More winter Six More Weeks of Winter; 6 More Months of Political Gridlock
2019 More winter Six More Weeks of Winter; 6 More Months of Political Gridlock
2018 More winter Six More Weeks of Winter; 6 More Months of Political Gridlock
2017 More winter Six More Weeks of Winter; 6 More Months of Political Gridlock
2016 Early spring Early Spring; 6 More Months of Political Gridlock
2015 More winter Six More Weeks of Winter; 6 More Months of Political Gridlock
2014 More winter Six More Weeks of Winter; 6 More Months of Political Gridlock
2013 Early spring Early Spring; 6 More Months of Political Gridlock
2012 More winter Six More Weeks of Winter; 6 More Months of Political Gridlock